How hot will it get in Chicago tomorrow? Each day Norynta opens a question on the highest temperature recorded at the National Weather Service station KORD (O'Hare). The four temperature ranges are centred on the official NWS forecast high, so equal odds would put 25% on each; where the crowd leans away from that tells you whether forecasters expect the day to run hotter or cooler than the forecast. Below: the live odds, the exact settlement rule, and every recent day scored against the observed high.
Last 9 days: the NWS forecast high was within ±1°F on 2 of 9 days. Players: no forecasts yet — be the first. See the record
Make your call: tap a range. No account needed.
Forecasts close Tue, Oct 20, 5:00 AM UTC
No forecasts yet: every range opens at equal odds. Be the first.
Settles to the range containing the highest air temperature reported by NWS station KORD (O'Hare) during the local calendar day (America/Chicago), converted to °F and rounded to the nearest whole degree. Trading closes when the day begins; the result is read once the day's observations are final and can be challenged for a few hours. If fewer than 18 observations are published, the question is voided and credits refunded.
Official source: NOAA / National Weather Service observations, station KORD (O'Hare)
2/9 days the NWS forecast high was within ±1°F
The middle ranges are built around the National Weather Service forecast high, so the forecast alone points at them. Spot the days it misses by 2°F or more and you beat it.
Make your call| Day | Result | NWS forecast | Players |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday, October 18 | 62–63°F (63°F) | NWS 62°F · off by 1°F (warmer) | No forecasts yet |
| Saturday, October 17 | 56–57°F (57°F) | NWS 58°F · off by 1°F (cooler) | No forecasts yet |
| Friday, October 16 | 57°F or higher (57°F) | NWS 55°F · off by 2°F (warmer) | No forecasts yet |
| Thursday, October 15 | 66°F or higher (66°F) | NWS 64°F · off by 2°F (warmer) | No forecasts yet |
| Wednesday, October 14 | Under 67°F (66°F) | NWS 69°F · off by 3°F (cooler) | No forecasts yet |
| Tuesday, October 13 | 80°F or higher (81°F) | NWS 78°F · off by 3°F (warmer) | No forecasts yet |
| Monday, October 12 | 83°F or higher (88°F) | NWS 81°F · off by 7°F (warmer) | No forecasts yet |
| Sunday, October 11 | 74°F or higher (79°F) | NWS 72°F · off by 7°F (warmer) | No forecasts yet |
| Saturday, October 10 | 81°F or higher (81°F) | NWS 79°F · off by 2°F (warmer) | No forecasts yet |
Voided questions are left out. Site-wide scoring is on How accurate is the crowd?