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Hong Kong high temperature forecast for tomorrow

How hot will it get in Hong Kong tomorrow? Each day Norynta opens a question on the highest temperature reported at Hong Kong International Airport (VHHH) during the local day. The four ranges, in °C, are centred on the forecast high when the question opens, so equal odds would put 25% on each; where the crowd leans away from that shows whether forecasters expect a hotter or cooler day than the forecast. Below: the live odds, the exact settlement rule, and every recent day scored against the observed high. Forecast data: MET Norway.

Live question · Tuesday, October 20

How hot will Hong Kong get on Tuesday, October 20?

Make your call: tap a range. No account needed.

Forecasts close Mon, Oct 19, 4:00 PM UTC

No forecasts yet: every range opens at equal odds. Be the first.

Free play credits · no real money · settled automaticallyFull question, chart & your own probability →

Also open

How it settles

Settles to the range containing the highest air temperature in the METAR and SPECI reports of VHHH (Hong Kong International Airport) during the local calendar day (Asia/Hong_Kong), in °C rounded to the nearest whole degree. Trading closes when the day begins; the result is read 2 hours after the day ends and can be challenged for a few hours. If fewer than 18 hours of the day have a report, the question is voided and credits refunded.

Official source: Airport weather reports (METAR) for VHHH (Hong Kong International Airport), via NOAA Aviation Weather Center

Track record

Settled questions appear here, scored, as soon as they resolve.

Questions

How hot will it get in Hong Kong tomorrow?
For Tuesday, October 20, nobody has forecast yet, so the ranges still sit at their opening odds (Under 31°C: 25%; 31–32°C: 25%; 33–34°C: 25%; 35°C or higher: 25%). Make the first forecast on the live card; the odds move as people forecast.
How accurate is the crowd?
Every settled question is scored here with a Brier score against equal odds as soon as it resolves. The record for this question is just starting.
Where is the Hong Kong temperature measured?
At Hong Kong International Airport (ICAO code VHHH). Airports report the weather every 30 or 60 minutes in standard aviation reports called METARs, made by the national weather service. The question uses the highest temperature in those reports during the local day, as published by NOAA's Aviation Weather Center.
How are the temperature ranges set?
They are built around the forecast high from the Norwegian Meteorological Institute (MET Norway) when the question opens, rounded to a whole degree: below forecast−1°C, forecast−1 to forecast, forecast+1 to forecast+2, and forecast+3°C or higher. The forecast only places the ranges; the answer always comes from the airport's reports. Forecast data: MET Norway.
Is this real money or betting?
No. Norynta uses free play credits only. There are no deposits, no withdrawals and nothing to cash out; the point is to see how good your forecasts are and how the crowd compares with official data.