Prediction market intelligence, from probability to execution
Compare implied probabilities, calculate payouts and expected value, inspect historical market data, review country access, and find conservative cross-venue comparison candidates.
Freshness and generated-at times stay visible.
Rules, caveats, and source links travel with the data.
The same intelligence is available through public APIs.
Market quality leaderboard
Ranked from current volume, depth, spread, freshness, and tradability signals.
Current signals
Machine-readable observations for research, alerts, and agents.
Prediction market intelligence FAQ
Direct answers to the questions behind the tools.
What does a prediction market price mean?
A 63-cent YES contract represents an implied probability of approximately 63%. If the stated outcome resolves YES, a winning contract is generally modeled as paying one dollar, subject to the venue's rules and fees.
How is prediction market profit calculated?
Estimated profit is the winning settlement payout minus the amount paid for contracts, fees, and execution costs. Norynta's calculator lets you model fee and slippage assumptions explicitly.
Are cross-platform price differences guaranteed arbitrage?
No. A displayed difference is only an indicative comparison until contract wording, resolution rules, live order books, fees, liquidity, access restrictions, and both fills are verified.
Can I use Norynta from my country?
Public market information can be browsed globally, while trading, deposits, and withdrawals depend on live jurisdiction checks, identity verification, current platform policy, and market availability.