Kalshi runs a real-money market on this question. Norynta mirrors it with play credits: it opened at the Kalshi price and settles exactly as that market does. Players and a labelled market tracker move the price from there. Think the crowd is wrong? Trade against it.
If Donald Trump and Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin meet in person together in the same trilateral meeting after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, and Vladimir Putin must all be physically present and participate together in the same trilateral meeting. Separate bilateral meetings, delegation or envoy talks, remote participation, and mere co-attendance without interaction do not qualify. A documented pull-aside, sideline, or informal meeting of only the three leaders qualifies. A greeting, handshake, group photo, or exchange that takes place only within a larger session, such as an APEC or G20 leaders' session, does not qualify. Resolution: this play-money market resolves to the same result as the official Kalshi market settlement, linked as this market's resolution source. Observation time: the source market's final settlement after trading closes at 2027-07-01T03:59:00Z (UTC). If the source market is voided, cancelled, or its result is unavailable or ambiguous, this market is voided and positions are refunded.
Forecasts and play credits have no cash value. At resolution each winning share pays 1 play credit and your calibration record updates.