Will Mark Carney announce their departure as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2027?

If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. A statement that Mark Carney will not lead the Liberal Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election, for example once a new Liberal leader is chosen. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. The full rules are on the Kalshi market. Resolution: this play-money market resolves to the same result as the official Kalshi market settlement, linked as this market's resolution source. Observation time: the source market's final settlement after trading closes at 2027-07-01T03:59:00Z (UTC). If the source market is voided, cancelled, or its result is unavailable or ambiguous, this market is voided and positions are refunded.

Forecasts and play credits have no cash value. At resolution each winning share pays 1 play credit and your calibration record updates.