Kalshi runs a real-money market on this question. Norynta mirrors it with play credits: it opened at the Kalshi price and settles exactly as that market does. Players and a labelled market tracker move the price from there. Think the crowd is wrong? Trade against it.
If Jim Justice has announced that they will run for Governor of West Virginia in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Jim Justice must publicly announce his campaign for the announcement to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for Governor of West Virginia in 2028. An exploratory committee, statement of interest, private decision, or third-party speculation without a formal announcement does NOT qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts. The announcement must come from Jim Justice or his official campaign. Resolution: this play-money market resolves to the same result as the official Kalshi market settlement, linked as this market's resolution source. Observation time: the source market's final settlement after trading closes at 2027-04-01T14:00:00Z (UTC). If the source market is voided, cancelled, or its result is unavailable or ambiguous, this market is voided and positions are refunded.
Forecasts and play credits have no cash value. At resolution each winning share pays 1 play credit and your calibration record updates.