Kalshi runs a real-money market on this question. Norynta mirrors it with play credits: it opened at the Kalshi price and settles exactly as that market does. Players and a labelled market tracker move the price from there. Think the crowd is wrong? Trade against it.
If a listed news source reports that the government of Greenland officially calls a snap parliamentary election after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from Bloomberg News, Reuters, KNR, or Sermitsiaq qualifies. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify unless the new publication explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of its publication date. Republishing of content from other sources qualifies only if hosted on the outlet’s official platform with that outlet identified as publisher. A snap election is one called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest date legally required. The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call the election and must specify an actual election date. This market concerns elections to Greenland’s Inatsisartut. Demands, speculation, coalition negotiations, and an election merely being held do not constitute an official call. Resolution: this play-money market resolves to the same result as the official Kalshi market settlement, linked as this market's resolution source. Observation time: the source market's final settlement after trading closes at 2027-07-01T03:59:00Z (UTC). If the source market is voided, cancelled, or its result is unavailable or ambiguous, this market is voided and positions are refunded.
Forecasts and play credits have no cash value. At resolution each winning share pays 1 play credit and your calibration record updates.